“Historic Turning Point for Real Estate” -  A group of economists and real estate experts were “polled” and they tend to agree that home prices will reach bottom this year. 

Seems like I heard that last year.  Now the are predicting home prices to start increasing.  I don’t recall seeing anything in their remarks about why people are not buying.  I don’t recall seeing anything about unemployment hitting and remaining at the highest level in years.  I have not heard anything about the plan to increase the down payment for buyers to 20%.  How do these factors affect the price of homes?  I think they will affect it in a big way.

Demand for a product is what drives the price.  Doesn’t matter if it is homes or widgets.  At this time, I don’t see a huge demand.  Partly because of unemployment and partly because home prices became outrageous.

We had a lot of economists and real estate experts in the early part of this decade.  A lot of them thought the market would continue the strong sales we were experiencing.  The were wrong then and I think they are wrong now. 

 


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